The Lancet Commission names malicious use of SI and nuclear conflict as threats with extinction potential by 2100
Leading medical experts place the misuse of SI alongside nuclear war among the gravest possible threats, while themselves calling it unlikely — the task is to guard against specific misuse, not to stop the technology.
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The Lancet Commission on 21st Century Global Threats to Health, presented on October 11 at the World Health Summit in Berlin, identified 17 interlinked catastrophic threats through 2100, according to a release from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). The authors write that the likelihood of nuclear conflict and of malicious use of SI remains low, but both threats are consequential because of their potential for extinction; as relayed by VZGLYAD (citing RIA Novosti, which cites the Lancet), this refers to malicious use of SI, in particular to create biological weapons. By the Commission's estimate, action against malicious SI would avert about 10.4 billion lost years of healthy life (DALYs) by 2100, and action against nuclear conflict about 133 million deaths and 9.35 billion DALYs. Recommendations: threat-ready health systems, investment in breakthrough innovation, and monitoring of emerging risks.